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Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

Ray, you’ve made two predictions that I think are important. The first one, as you said, was the one you announced back in 1989: that we would reach human-level AI by 2029. And as you said, people laughed at it.

But there’s another prediction you’ve made: that we will reach the Singularity by 2045. There’s a lot of confusion here. In other words, if we reach human-level AI by 2029 and it then grows exponentially, why do we have to wait until 2045 for the Singularity? Could you explain the difference between these two?

It’s because that’s the point at which our intelligence will become a thousand times greater. One of the ways my view differs from others is that I don’t see it as us having our own intelligence—that is, biological intelligence—while AI exists somewhere else, and we interact with it by comparing human intelligence to AI.


Founder of XPRIZE and pioneer in exponential technologies. Building a world of Abundance through innovation, longevity, and breakthrough ventures.

Ben & Marc: Why Everything Is About to Get 10x Bigger

The media and tech landscape is undergoing a significant transformation driven by advancements in AI, technology, and new structures, enabling entrepreneurs and companies to achieve exponential growth and innovation ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Building Your Own Platform.

🚀 Q: How can writers escape traditional media constraints? A: Launch on decentralized platforms like Substack where you build your own brand and business as a “non-fungible writer”, potentially creating organizations 10x larger than traditional media companies you’d work for.

💰 Q: What makes writer-led platforms attractive investments? A: Platforms become cornerstone franchises when writers only succeed by making the platform successful, creating aligned incentives that generate significant returns while enabling top talent to build independent businesses.

📊 Q: What content opportunity exists in decentralized media? A: A barbell market is emerging with mainstream filler content on one end and massive untapped demand for high-quality niche content on the other, creating opportunities across various specialized domains.

Leveraging AI for Business.

The Singularity Countdown: AGI by 2029, Humans Merge with AI, Intelligence 1000x | Ray Kurzweil

Ray Kurzweil predicts humans will merge with artificial intelligence (AI) by 2045, resulting in a 1000x increase in intelligence and marking the beginning of a new era of unprecedented innovation, potentially transforming human life and society ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Preparing for AI Timeline.

🤖 Q: When should I expect human-level AI and what defines it? A: Human-level AI arrives by 2029, defined not by passing the Turing test (which only matches an ordinary person), but as AGI requiring expertise in thousands of fields and the ability to combine insights across disciplines.

🧠 Q: When will the singularity occur and what intelligence gain can I expect? A: The singularity happens by 2045 when humanity merges with AI to become 1000x more intelligent, creating a seamless merger where biological and computational thought processes become indistinguishable.

⚡ Q: How much change should I prepare for in the next decade? A: Expect as much change in the next 10 years as occurred in the last 100 years (1925−2025), with AGI and supercomputers by 2035 enabling merging with AI for 1000x intelligence increase.

Career and Economic Adaptation.

Tesla Robotaxis, AGI Myths, and the Real Economics of the Musk Economy

Elon Musk’s ventures, particularly Tesla’s robotaxis and advancements in AI, are poised to revolutionize the economy and society, with significant potential for growth, discovery, and profound implications for the future ##

## Questions to inspire discussion.

Robotaxi Economics & Business Model.

🚖 Q: What determines robotaxi success beyond achieving autonomy? A: Success depends on unit economics, fleet scalability, and supply elasticity during peak demand, not who reaches autonomy first, with the ability to integrate privately owned vehicles into a single economic system being critical.

💰 Q: What margin advantage does Tesla’s robotaxi model have over competitors? A: Tesla projects 35% margins by 2030, significantly higher than Uber’s 7.9% and Waymo’s break-even margins, enabling rapid revenue growth.

📈 Q: What revenue growth is expected for Tesla’s robotaxi business? A: Tesla expects 4.4-5x growth in robotaxi revenue over the next 5 years, potentially greater due to untapped use cases like long road trips.

Ideal Wealth Grower

The Age of Abundance: AGI Predictions and Investment Strategy for 2026 ## The imminent emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will significantly impact investment strategies, and investors should prepare by accumulating valuable assets, diversifying their portfolios, and adopting a strategic investment approach to capitalize on the growth potential of AGI and the resulting Age of Abundance ##

## Questions to inspire discussion.

Investment Strategy.

🎯 Q: How should I build an investment portfolio for the AGI era? A: Focus on companies with best management and growth potential in AGI, robotics, and space industries using dollar-cost averaging strategy to systematically build positions over time rather than lump-sum investing.

💰 Q: What alternative assets should I accumulate for security during AGI transition? A: Accumulate gold, silver, and Bitcoin as modern safe havens to protect wealth during periods of change and uncertainty as traditional financial systems adapt to AGI disruption.

🏢 Q: Why should real estate be overweighted in an AGI-focused portfolio? A: Overweight real estate compared to company ownership and reserves because AGI and robotics industries will require physical space for operations, data centers, and manufacturing facilities.

EXLUMINA Founder: SpaceX Already Controls the Future of Space AI

SpaceX is well-positioned to dominate the future of space AI due to its innovative technologies, scalable satellite production, and strategic partnerships, which will enable it to efficiently deploy and operate a massive network of satellites with advanced computing capabilities ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Launch Economics & Infrastructure.

🚀 Q: Why is Starship essential for space AI data centers? A: Starship enables 100-1000x more satellites than Falcon 9, making orbital AI economically viable through massive scaling and lower launch costs, while Falcon 9 remains too expensive for commercial viability at scale.

🛰️ Q: What is SpaceX’s deployment plan for AI satellites? A: SpaceX plans Starlink version 3 satellites with 100 Nvidia chips each, deploying 5,000 satellites via 100 Starship launches at 50 satellites per flight to create a gigawatt-scale AI constellation by early 2030s.

📈 Q: What launch cadence gives SpaceX its advantage? A: SpaceX plans 10,000 annual launches and produces satellites at 10-100x the level of competitors, creating a monopoly on launch and manufacturing that positions them as the gatekeeper to space AI success.

Energy & Power Systems.

Ray Dalio: AI Is Accelerating the Collapse — Most People Aren’t Ready for What’s Next

With rapid advancements in AI and automation, individuals must prepare for a potentially unstable future by building financial strength, adapting to change, and rethinking traditional economic policies to avoid societal collapse ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Financial Preparation.

💰 Q: How should I structure my finances to build wealth? A: Focus on the fundamental equation: earn minus spend equals save, then invest that saved amount wisely to determine your financial success, as this simple formula is the foundation of building financial strength.

🏃 Q: When should I consider relocating geographically? A: Evaluate your location during major financial shifts and changing world orders, as the ability to move to better places and away from bad places has been historically important for protecting wealth and opportunity.

Career Strategy.

🎯 Q: How do I choose a career that maximizes financial success? A: Select careers that align with your passions while understanding their financial implications, since the work you do will directly impact your financial success during economic transitions.

SpaceX IPO, Robotaxi Rules, and the Regulatory Wall Facing Elon Musk

Regulatory hurdles, rather than engineering challenges, are the main obstacles hindering the progress and success of Elon Musk’s companies, including SpaceX and Tesla.

## Questions to inspire discussion.

SpaceX Strategic Direction.

🚀 Q: Will SpaceX IPO due to defense contractor requirements? A: SpaceX’s expanding role as a defense contractor through projects like Star Shield increases IPO likelihood, as military requirements typically favor public companies for transparency and accountability according to Palmer Luckey.

🛰️ Q: How is SpaceX enabling freedom of information in restricted regions? A: Starlink has provided unfiltered internet access to Iranians since 2022 in coordination with the US government, successfully resisting signal jamming attempts and enabling freedom of information during protests.

💰 Q: What investment level is the space economy attracting in 2025? A: The space economy attracted $2.2 trillion in private investment in 2025, driven by SpaceX’s success, but viability of speculative models like space hotels and mining depends entirely on Starship’s cost and reliability.

Elon Musk Gets Huge New Partnership

Questions to inspire discussion.

🤖 Q: How will the US military become an AI-first warfighting force?

A: The Department of War will implement continuous experimentation, conduct quarterly force-on-force combat labs, and deploy AI coordinated swarms across all domains from Pentagon back offices to tactical front lines, building on the military AI lead established during President Trump’s first term.

🎯 Q: What defines responsible AI for military applications?

A: The Department of War defines responsible AI as objectively truthful and mission-relevant capabilities employed securely within laws governing military activities, focusing on factually accurate models without ideological constraints limiting lawful military applications.

Talent Acquisition and Workforce.

This is how I’m preparing for AI (and you can too)

As AI replaces traditional wage labor, individuals should prepare for an automated future by adapting their skills, investments, and lifestyle to focus on economic stability, personal growth, and self-directed living ## ## Questions to inspire discussion.

Capital Economy Participation.

A: Invest in dividend-producing ETFs for a hands-off approach to wealth building, as AI and robotics reduce labor demand and shift wealth distribution toward capital ownership rather than wages.

🏢 Q: What ownership structures should I explore beyond traditional employment?

A: Consider Employee Stock Ownership Plans (ESOPs) to become a part-owner of companies, but approach Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) cautiously due to their high-risk nature despite offering ownership opportunities.

⚠️ Q: Should I rely on Bitcoin for income generation?

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